29.3.2023
Centre for European Policy Studies
One year of war in Ukraine: understanding what has happened and what needs to happen next
As the conflict has now entered its second year, this explainer analyses what has defined the first year and then expands on what the EU needs to concretely do in the second if Ukraine is to have any hope of triumphing over the invaders. This will require vision, courage and boldness from European leaders. The alternative if they fail? A rules-based international order replaced by a ruthless multipolar world defined by competing spheres of influence.
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
Nuclear security during armed conflict: lessons from Ukraine
The Russian military’s invasion of Ukraine and attacks on nuclear installations there in 2022 presented extraordinary nuclear safety, security and safeguards challenges for the facilities’ personnel, for the Ukrainian authorities and for the International Atomic Energy Agency. This brief addresses these questions, highlighting gaps in the current nuclear security regime and recommending how those gaps can be filled.
Council on Foreign Relations
Ukraine: conflict at the crossroads of Europe and Russia
The article presents background information about the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. It covers various question such as what are Russia’s broad interests in Ukraine or what are the US and EU policies in Ukraine.
Barcelona Centre for International Affairs
The article argues that the best way to contain the conflict between Russia and Ukraine is to support armed resistance against Russian aggression. It asserts that Putin’s Russia must face defeat in Ukraine to force a collective examination of conscience. It also warns of the consequences of a Russian victory, including de-Ukrainization and de-Europeanization.
Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses
The corporatisation of Ukraine war: a case of unfolding asymmetry in military power
The author argues that the power of crowdsourcing budgetary support, technology, training, and logistic wherewithal has emerged as an important lesson in the Russian war against Ukraine. This corporatisation of war effort has many consequences and will shape the character and future of this war.
Atlantic Council
The 5×5- conflict in Ukraine’s information environment
This article provides insights on the war being waged through the Ukrainian information environment as well as take away lessons for the United States and its allies for the future.
Vox Ukraine
How and to what extent has the emotional state of young people changed after February 24, 2022?
How and to what extend did last year’s events in Ukraine affect the psychological state of the Ukrainian youth? The authors analyze the findings of a survey on the mental health of young Ukrainians.
Cedos (NGO Centre for Society Research)
War and education: how a year of the full-scale invasion influenced Ukrainian schools
How did the war affect access to general secondary education in Ukraine, in particular in areas that were in the zone of active combat or under occupation? The report analyses the situation and offers possible solutions to restore access to secondary education.
Euro-Mediterranean Study Commission
This paper examines how media framing of the Ukrainian and Syrian refugee crises affected public opinion and policymaking in the EU. Despite the disparity in the number of refugees from Ukraine and Syria, positive-centred media coverage of the Ukrainian crisis mobilised citizen and political action in favour of welcoming Ukrainian refugees, the complete opposite of the negative media framing of Syrian refugees in 2015.
Barcelona Centre for International Affairs
La acogida de refugiados ucranianos: más allá de la emergencia
The author reviews the unprecedented exodus of 4.8 million Ukrainian refugees who have found temporary protection in Europe and find that the response is still stuck in emergency mode. Housing and job market access are crucial, and temporary protection is precarious. Old debates about sharing responsibility between member states have resurfaced.
Vox Ukraine
Who will pay the bills for Russia’s destruction of Ukraine?
The authors discuss possible ways to force Russia to pay for the damage it has caused to Ukraine and its economy.
Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW)
Kryzys, nie katastrofa. Białoruska gospodarka rok po rosyjskiej agresji na Ukrainę
(A crisis, not a disaster the Belarusian economy one year after the Russia’s aggression on Ukraine)
The article examines the current state of Belarusian economy one year after the outbreak of the war, arguing that the economic stability of the country is closely related to the macroeconomic situation of Russia.
Barcelona Centre for International Affairs
El impacto de la guerra y los dilemas económicos que se avecinan
This paper explores how war caused a major economic slowdown and rapid inflation increase, with ongoing impacts such as sanctions and changes to trade and investment flows. It also dives into how the war creates difficult economic policy decisions in a constrained budget environment.
Külügyi és Külgazdasági Intézet (Institute for Foreign Affairs and Trade)
This paper aims to answer why Japan and South Korea have adopted a different sanctions policy in response to the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war than they did in the aftermath of the 2014 annexation of Crimea. It concludes that it was primarily the deterioration of the regional environment and the related need to meet the United States’ expectations that has led to a stronger commitment by both countries.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
Investing in Ukraine: challenges and prospects for European Union and Czech investors
Russia’s aggression against Ukraine makes investors take risks and worry about their future business. European investors in Ukraine face tremendous challenges. The author focuses on the future of EU and Czech investments in Ukraine.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
This article aims to answer the questions on how the Russian invasion of Ukraine changed the European views on the dependence on the Russian energy sources and how these changes affected the Czech Republic.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
Marshallův plán pro Ukrajinu?: nejen obrovská příležistost, ale také vážná rizika
Post-war recovery of Ukraine will be the biggest reconstruction effort in Europe after the Second World War. The cost is currently estimated at about 350 billion euros. This report presents not only the opportunities but also the risks connected with the post-war recovery of Ukraine.
Taenketanken Europa
Ruslands invasion af Ukraine risikerer at synke Kommissionens grønne fødevareflagskib
The authors argue that the European Commission’s vision for a sustainable food sector is being attacked from all sides following the war in Ukraine and divisions could potentially capsize the entire strategy.
Brussels School of Governance
Shockwaves: how does the war in Ukraine impact the EU’s grand strategy?
This paper illustrates the implications of the conflict for EU grand strategy in terms of shifting priorities, new challenges, emerging debates and critical questions that need addressing. It argues that the EU institutions and member states need to match their grand strategy to the scale of the challenges they face, or risk losing agency on the global stage.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
The cybersecurity implications of Russia’s war on Ukraine
This article analyses the dependence on transnational tech companies and vulnerability to cyberattacks. Private companies such as Microsoft and Google have been pivotal in securing technology and fending off attacks. That is why Czech and EU policies need to reconsider the relationship between government and private companies.
Notre Europe – Institut Jacques Delors
L’Europe garde les faveurs de l’opinion face à la guerre en Ukraine
This paper concludes that there is still broad support for the action of the EU, already noticeable a year ago. This is based on analysis of the outcome of several recent surveys, including the Commission’s standard Eurobarometer carried out on the ground in January-February 2023.
Center for Strategic & International Affairs
The ICC wants Putin: now what?
The International Criminal Court has issued arrest warrants for Putin and Russian Commissioner for children’s rights, Maria Lvova-Belova, for war crimes related to the transfer of Ukrainian children from Russian-occupied parts of eastern Ukraine into Russian territory. This article offers an insight into how the arrest warrant came about, how the case is likely to proceed, and what this means for efforts to hold Russian leaders accountable for their actions in Ukraine.
United States Institute of Peace
How the ICC’s warrant for Putin could impact the Ukraine war
This article analyses the impact of the ICC arrest warrants for Putin and Lvova-Belova on the war in Ukraine, emphasizing the need for continued pursuit of accountability and concluding that even though, domestically, it’s unlikely these actions will have any impact in Russian political sphere, they provide further legitimacy for Ukraine.
The Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey
Has there been a rapprochement between Turkey and the west after the invasion of Ukraine?
According to the author, most probably the world will face an unstable stalemate in this case. Russia seems to have maximalist demands like the recognition of all the annexed territories, while Ukraine, backed by the West, wants to take back most of its occupied land.
Peace Research Institute Oslo
China adjusts limits on partnership with Russia
This article analyses the relations between Moscow and Beijing and looks at the Chinese peace plan for Ukraine.
Friedrich Ebert Stiftung
This report states that Belarus is going through the most turbulent period since its independence because of the war in Ukraine and the Belarusian authorities’ complicity in Russia’s aggression, combined with the country’s still unresolved internal political crisis of 2020. The report analyses the current economic, political, and foreign affairs situation and trends, and outlines the current public opinion of Belarusians.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
Russia’s war on Ukraine and China’s next move
This article analyses the dual role of Beijing, which on the one hand maintains economic and diplomatic relations with the EU and the USA, and on the other hand also cooperates with the Russian Federation.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
Russia’s war on Ukraine and the food security in the Middle East and North Africa
The brief comments on how the Russian war on Ukraine threatens global food security, especially in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Soon, agricultural and environmental issues will have a more important place in the MENA politics. As such, they should be addressed by EU member states as they may impact on their external trade, their humanitarian policy and possibly their security policy.
Euro-Mediterranean Study Commission
Walking the tightrope: the Ukrainian crisis through the eyes of Africa
This policy brief analyses the effects of Russian economic and political influence in Africa and its response to the Ukrainian crisis, with a particular focus on North Africa. It highlights the economic and political connections that have shaped Africa’s perspective on the Ukrainian crisis.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
What impact does the Russian war on Ukraine have on dynamics in Middle East? The author of this study focuses on the effects of the Russian campaign in the region.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
Česko-africké vztahy po ruské invazi na Ukrajinu: hledání cesty ze vzájemného odcizení
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine revived Cold War-era patterns of geopolitical thinking in the world. They manifested themselves most strongly in the countries of the European Union that were part of the Soviet bloc, including the Czech Republic. This article analysis the Czech-African relations after the Russian war on Ukraine.
European Council on Foreign Relations
Fragile unity: why Europeans are coming together on Ukraine (and what might drive them apart)
This paper documents Europe’s remarkable coming together, explores three major drivers of this unity, and explains how European leaders can position themselves for the challenges ahead.
Barcelona Centre for International Affairs
The dilemma that follows the war
The article discusses two diverging visions in the EU about the strategy for Ukraine: those who prioritize an outright Ukrainian victory and those who consider the Russia factor in Europe’s security architecture. It emphasizes the need for the EU to focus on defense spending and international coalition-building for global and European security frameworks.
Friends of Europe
Where to now? Ukraine’s war is eclipsing the EU’s internal woes
The author looks behind the EU’s admirable solidarity over Ukraine to the deep-seated problems that Europe has yet to resolve. ‘Polycrisis’ and ‘permacrisis’ are neologisms that well describe the challenges assailing Europe.
European Policy Centre
Ukraine’s accession talks need bold action in Kyiv and Brussels
In June 2022, Ukraine became an EU candidate country, bringing Kyiv a step closer to opening accession negotiations. However, as the brief notes, what happens next depends on Ukraine meeting the remaining criteria. The future of European security depends on integrating the Eastern neighbourhood along with the Western Balkans. Thus, a credible and revitalised enlargement process is a geopolitical imperative.
Ústav mezinárodních vztahů
Riziko triumfalismu: ruská agrese a znovuvzkříšení střední Evropy
How did the relations in Europe change since the beginning of the war in Ukraine? This article focuses on the impact of countries’ varying positions towards Ukraine on the political dynamics in Europe.